Cyclone Melissa Gains Power While Moves Toward the Island Nation
Hurricane the storm is forecast to become a infrequent highest-level cyclone as it shifts toward the Caribbean island, bringing dangerous flash flooding and mudslides.
The cyclone, which recorded winds of up to 120 miles per hour as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting toward the northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to make landfall by midweek, according to weather experts.
Advisories of power cuts and damage to infrastructure have been released as this storm generates up to 76cm of rainfall and storm surges as high as 13ft above typical tides. "Find safe refuge immediately," locals have been urged.
Melissa is the 13th storm in the ongoing Atlantic hurricane season, which usually concludes in November.
Category Five Hurricane Threat
A Category 5 cyclone is the most powerful category, with winds of at least 252 km/h.
While this storm is projected to reduce in intensity to a category four storm before reaching Jamaica, experts said there was "almost no noticeable change in the total effects" upon reaching the coast, and that the hurricane will be "just as powerful" when it impacts the country.
Critical Readiness Measures
With storm-force wind and rainfall anticipated well in advance well before it moves across central Jamaica - perhaps encompassing the city of Kingston - alerts state that "preparations should be rushed to completion".
"Several days of damaging winds and heavy rainfall have begun and will cause devastating and dangerous sudden floods and numerous rock slides," counseled weather authorities.
The country's head of government the official commented: "I understand that there are many Jamaicans who are concerned, who are deeply troubled, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"However the optimal approach to handle anxiety and any apprehension and concern is to be prepared."
Locals are being told to fortify their houses with sandbags and wooden boards, and to stock up on basic necessities.
Broader Effects
Warnings are also in effect for parts of Haiti such as the main city, Port au Prince, the neighboring country and Cuba's eastern region, where this storm is anticipated to bring comparable impacts by the middle portion of the coming week.
Rock slides already being caused by the storm have already killed two in Haiti, according to emergency services.
Future Path
The hurricane is predicted to cross the island nation by midweek before traveling via the Greater Antilles and entering the Atlantic.
By the point it makes contact with Cuba, it is predicted to have diminished to a category three storm.
Environmental Connection
Even though it is challenging to link specific storms to climate change, experts say it is resulting in weather phenomena increasingly frequent and more extreme.
Increased sea temperatures create greater water vapor in the environment, aiding in the development of hurricanes.
Prior to the start of the current Caribbean cyclone season, climate agencies projected higher-than-average occurrence, referencing elevated ocean temperatures and potential enhanced seasonal rains around the western African continent - where hurricanes often form.